UPI 328: Australia’s Next Property Cycle Starts in 2027
Show Notes
In this episode of The Urban Property Investor, we break down the 18-year property cycle and what it could mean for Australian property from 2027 to 2045.
We look at how previous cycles have moved through recalibration, recovery, growth and speculation, and why cities like Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth can perform at different stages.
We cover:
– The four phases of the 18-year property cycle
– How previous Australian property cycles have played out
– Why growth can move from one city to another – What the 2027–2045 cycle could look like
– The “migration of money” between markets
– Why long-term strategy matters more than short-term forecasts The 18-year cycle isn’t a guarantee — it’s a framework for understanding where markets may be heading and how investors can think more strategically about timing, location and opportunity.
I discuss –
00:00 Introduction to the 18-Year Property Cycle
02:29 The Macro Cycle: Decline, Recession, Growth, Hyper growth
05:21 Economic Principles Driving the Cycle
06:20 Impact of Industrial Revolutions on Property Markets
07:45 Changing Job Markets and Productivity
08:46 The Next 18-Year Cycle and AI Revolution
10:14 Phases of the Property Cycle and Market Behaviour
12:19 Historical Data: 1989 to 2007 Cycle
16:11 Predicting Future Market Values and Land Prices
17:33 Intergenerational Wealth Transfer and Its Impact
18:28 Analysing Past Cycles for Future Insights
20:19 Growth Models and Investment Strategies
22:15 The Similarities Between Past Cycles
23:40 Speculation and the Ripple Effect
26:33 Land Speculation and Market Timing
27:25 Buying Opportunities During Flat Years
28:25 The Lead of Sydney and Melbourne in Growth
29:22 The Perth Boom and Final Stage of the Cycle
30:45 The Migration of Money and Portfolio Building
31:14 Practical Investment Strategies Based on Cycles
📌 Subscribe and Stay Connected: Subscribe to The Urban Property Investor for actionable insights on building wealth, navigating property markets, and understanding tax dynamics. You can find my book on Amazon here – https://rb.gy/lixbh3
Don’t hesitate to hit me up on my socials – DM me with any of your questions 🙂
Facebook https://www.facebook.com/samsaggers
Instagram https://www.instagram.com/sam_saggers
If you’re yet to subscribe or leave a review, be sure to do so on your favourite channel.
Remember, I’m really good at 1.25 or 1.5 speed.
And all Podcasts are lessons on Real Estate, so feel free to go back and enjoy past episodes 🙂
Take care,
Sam